Monday, Aug 24, 2026, then tomorrow
The S&P 500 slid 0.28% to 763.46 and the Nasdaq (NDAQ) 100 dropped 0.99% to 706.38, driven by a broad semiconductor selloff. The explicit catalyst was dilution pressure: Alibaba (BABA) plunged 10% on a $10.2 billion share placement, Intel (INTC) fell on its $20 billion stock offering, and Nebius (NBIS) dropped 4% after upsizing a convertible note offering to $5 billion. Nvidia (NVDA) fell despite positive headlines on Groq rack deployment and SpaceX AI infrastructure wins, suggesting the sector sold news into supply. The Dow 30 gained 0.27% to 533.61, lifted by Consumer Staples (+1.69%), Financials (+1.23%), and Utilities (+1.06%), a classic rotation into defensives. The semis/dilution overhang and the defensive bid carry directly into tomorrow.
Today's rotation
One-day total return of the 11 SPDR sector ETFs.
| Consumer Staples | +1.69% | |
| Financials | +1.23% | |
| Utilities | +1.06% | |
| Communication Svcs | +0.84% | |
| Real Estate | +0.64% | |
| Consumer Discretionary | +0.26% | |
| Materials | +0.10% | |
| Health Care | +0.04% | |
| Industrials | -0.68% | |
| Energy | -0.77% | |
| Technology | -1.79% |
What drove it (and may carry over)
Curated from the day's market wire.
Tuesday, Aug 25, 2026
What is scheduled, with ET times. Not a forecast of how it lands.
Housing Starts prints at 8:30 AM, a medium-impact release that front-loads volatility into the open. The larger structural anchor is Fed Chair Kevin Warsh's Jackson Hole speech, which headlines flagged as pending but gave no scheduled ET time, so treat it as an unanchored intraday risk. Intuit (INTU) reports after the close (~4:05 PM ET), adding a late-session tech-earnings catalyst. Further out, GDP and PCE inflation both print Wednesday at 8:30 AM, making multi-day holds that cross Wednesday carry meaningful macro risk. Watch whether the tech-sector bid recovers or the defensive rotation extends.
Reporting tomorrow, and we have a view
What in the report would support or undermine our published research.
Confirms: AI-assisted tax and QuickBooks attach-rate gains, operating margin holding above 40%, and forward revenue growth guidance above 10% would support the durability case.
Breaks: Guidance implying revenue growth below 10% or any operating margin compression toward 40% would undermine the franchise quality argument.
Session structure
How the calendar shapes each holding period. Descriptive only: not advice, and not a recommendation to trade anything.
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